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Gibraltar Introduces Dedicated Prediction Market Regulations

Gibraltar implemented the Prediction Market Regulations 2026 on 13 July, establishing a dedicated legal framework for forecast trading platforms. The legislation creates a distinct licensing regime that operates independently from the existing Gambling Act.

Regulatory Framework and Digital Assets

The new rules allow operators to process deposits and settlements using digital assets, including stablecoins, under a single authorization. Companies no longer require a separate financial licence to handle cryptocurrency transactions within their trading accounts. This structure replaces the previous practice of adapting sportsbook licensing requirements to cover prediction market operations.

European Market Divergence

The Gibraltar approach differs from current European Union policy. The regulatory split may influence where companies choose to establish their European operations, as platforms face differing compliance requirements across jurisdictions.

In June, nine EU regulators, coordinated by Spain, agreed to exchange intelligence on prediction platforms and implement stricter oversight measures. This earlier decision established a contrasting compliance path for forecast trading services across the bloc.

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